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Stadium Background

Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Perlaza V.
38'
Acosta A.
49'
Volken L.

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Comerciantes FC
22%
Draws
18%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC haven't matched Santos FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Comerciantes FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Santos FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:0
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 68 / 100
Santos FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Comerciantes FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Santos FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 6

Santos FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Santos FC
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Pirata1061317:1219
3Union Comercio95318:218
4Carlos Mannucci1052311:917
5U. San Martin932413:1011
6ADA Jaen92528:711
7Cesar Vallejo82246:88
8AD Cantolao91269:185
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC1055013:620
2Tacna Heroica1053213:818
3Alianza Huanuco1042412:1014
4Santos FC1042410:1114
5Ayacucho103439:813
6Sport Huancayo 293338:912
7Union Minas102537:611
8Estudiantil CNI92349:129
9Binacional101367:186
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)