Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
41'
41'
Canales E.
59'
59'
Cossio A.
59'
59'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Arancibia F.
Out: Gonzalez A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Garcilaso have won more games recently than Comerciantes Unidos.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 31 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos Deportivo Garcilaso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Comerciantes Unidos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS Deportivo Garcilaso
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
30 May
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
10 May
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 FBC Melgar
25 Apr
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away) 27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
04 May
Los Chankas
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
