Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
Olivares J. In: Ayovi W.
Out: Olivares J.
61'
61'
Sub
Valera A. In: Rivera J.
Out: Valera A.
69'
69'
Sub
Perez Guedes M. In: Calcaterra H.
Out: Perez Guedes M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes Unidos.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 27%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
Apr 29, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 22 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Comerciantes Unidos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Universitario de Deportes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS Universitario de Deportes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
30 May
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
10 May
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 FBC Melgar
25 Apr
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
23 May
Moquegua
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
20 May
Club Nacional
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
12 May
Sport Boys
0 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
