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Comoros vs Saudi Arabia

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ahmed N.
6'
Al Juwayr M.
45'
Mohamed Z.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Comoros
35%
Draws
39%
Saudi Arabia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Comoros's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Saudi Arabia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Comoros Clean Sheet 20%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros Saudi Arabia
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.92 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Comoros vs Saudi Arabia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Youssouf I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanno M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Dawsari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 40 / 100
Saudi Arabia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comoros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Comoros found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Recent resilience: Comoros stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Saudi Arabia
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6

Saudi Arabia

(Away)
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)