Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Carreira D.
63'
63'
Crespo P.
78'
78'
Balsa J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Compostela and Montaneros finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Compostela come out ahead of Montaneros on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Compostela Clean Sheet 68%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Compostela | Montaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Montaneros
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Compostela
0:1
Jan 24, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Compostela
3:0
Sep 13, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Montaneros
1:1
May 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Montaneros
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Compostela Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Canizares J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Montaneros Compare
Top Goalscorer Carreira D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Balsa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Compostela 41 / 100
Montaneros 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Compostela Montaneros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Compostela scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Montaneros conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Compostela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Compostela VS Montaneros
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Compostela
(Home) 18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4 Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0 Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0 CF Badalona
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1 Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1 Compostela
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4 Dep. A Coruna
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0 CF Badalona
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1 Atletico Arteixo
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
01 May
Compostela
2 : 1 Estradense
Page 1 of 3
Montaneros
(Away) 10 May
Montaneros
4 : 1 Cambados
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1 Montaneros
26 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 0 Barco
19 Apr
Compostela
2 : 2 Montaneros
12 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 1 Estradense
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1 Montaneros
19 Apr
Compostela
2 : 2 Montaneros
05 Apr
Somozas
1 : 2 Montaneros
19 Mar
Atletico Arteixo
3 : 2 Montaneros
07 Mar
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
