Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Seba D.
Own Goal
44' Event
Faty M.
Assist: Bouleghcha I.
61'
Sub
Gbelle G. In: Da Silva F.
Out: Gbelle G.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Concarneau and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Concarneau
6%
Draws
4%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:3
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Concarneau
1:1
May 12, 2023 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Concarneau
2:1
Dec 16, 2022 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:0
Jan 24, 2020 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Concarneau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Faty M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nsingi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 95 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Concarneau scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Le Puy-en-Velay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Concarneau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Le Puy-en-Velay
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
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Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
09 May
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 2
Dijon
01 May
Fleury-Merogis
4 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)