Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia Hamburg vs Buxtehuder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017 game between Concordia Hamburg and Buxtehuder finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Concordia Hamburg
6%
Draws
4%
Buxtehuder
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Concordia Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Concordia Hamburg come out ahead of Buxtehuder on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Concordia Hamburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Concordia Hamburg Clean Sheet 16%
Buxtehuder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Hamburg Buxtehuder
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs Buxtehuder
6:2
Aug 26, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg
Buxtehuder vs Concordia Hamburg
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Hamburg 84 / 100
Buxtehuder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Hamburg Buxtehuder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buxtehuder conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Concordia Hamburg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Concordia Hamburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concordia Hamburg VS Buxtehuder
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia Hamburg

(Home)
19 May
Concordia Hamburg
1 : 1
Kosova
14 May
Halstenbek-Rellingen
2 : 1
Concordia Hamburg
09 May
Pinneberg
0 : 0
Concordia Hamburg
07 May
Concordia Hamburg
4 : 3
TuS Osdorf
28 Apr
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
0 : 2
Concordia Hamburg
Page 1 of 6

Buxtehuder

(Away)
19 May
Buxtehuder
1 : 3
Wedeler
12 May
Suderelbe
10 : 1
Buxtehuder
07 May
Altona
1 : 1
Buxtehuder
02 May
Rugenbergen
6 : 2
Buxtehuder
28 Apr
Buxtehuder
1 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dassendorf34236579:3275
2TSV Buchholz 0834199677:4466
3Altona341810672:4164
4SC Victoria Hamburg34187982:6361
5Concordia Hamburg341851189:5259
6TuS Osdorf341610866:5358
7Wedeler341751277:6756
8Rugenbergen341471367:5449
9Pinneberg341441662:5746
10Condor Hamburg341441662:7246
11Turkiye Wilhelmsburg341291351:6145
12Curslack-Neuengamme341361544:5545
13Barmbek-Uhlenhorst341281456:5544
14Niendorfer TSV341171657:6240
15Suderelbe341061865:7836
16Halstenbek-Rellingen34852137:7229
17Kosova34642432:10622
18Buxtehuder34382340:9117
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)