Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Emerson Tucao
18'
18'
Emerson Tucao
49'
49'
Italo
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Concordia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brusque
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Brusque carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Brusque taking it.
- Brusque arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brusque, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concordia | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Concordia
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Concordia
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Brusque
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Emerson Tucao
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Brusque Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concordia 14 / 100
Brusque 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concordia Brusque
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Concordia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Brusque conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Concordia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Concordia VS Brusque
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Concordia
(Home) 22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 6
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
22 Jan
Concordia
1 : 0 Figueirense
14 Jan
Concordia
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
11 Jan
Concordia
0 : 0 Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 3
Brusque
(Away) 26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0 Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1 Figueirense
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0 Brusque
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1 Floresta EC
Page 1 of 7
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0 Brusque
01 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2 Brusque
17 May
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Brusque
03 May
Volta Redonda
1 : 1 Brusque
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
