Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Emerson Tucao
18'
18'
Emerson Tucao
49'
49'
Italo
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Concordia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brusque carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Brusque taking it.
- Brusque arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brusque, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Concordia Clean Sheet 19%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concordia | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Concordia
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Concordia
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Brusque
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Emerson Tucao
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Brusque Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concordia 12 / 100
Brusque 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concordia Brusque
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brusque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Concordia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Concordia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Brusque
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Concordia
(Home) 22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 6
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
22 Jan
Concordia
1 : 0 Figueirense
14 Jan
Concordia
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
11 Jan
Concordia
0 : 0 Santa Catarina
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Brusque
(Away) 13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1 Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 7
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1 Brusque
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Brusque
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0 Brusque
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
