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Concordia vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia play Lausanne in the Swiss Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Concordia averaged 2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Lausanne averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Concordia won 3, Lausanne won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Concordia and 2.20 for Lausanne. This points to a Concordia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Concordia
19%
Draws
35%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia picked up more points recently compared to Lausanne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.20 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Lausanne
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Swiss Cup
Concordia vs Lausanne
1:4
May 2, 2009 Challenge League
Lausanne vs Concordia
2:3
Nov 8, 2008 Challenge League
Concordia vs Lausanne
3:1
Apr 5, 2008 Challenge League
Lausanne vs Concordia
1:1
Sep 26, 2007 Challenge League
Concordia vs Lausanne
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wursten M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Lausanne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajdini A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lekoueiry B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 43 / 100
Lausanne 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Lausanne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Concordia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Concordia attacking → ← attacking Lausanne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lausanne let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Concordia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lausanne lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 37
1.86 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63