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Conde-sur-Noireau W vs F.A.S Herblay W

France France

Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conde-sur-Noireau W play F.A.S Herblay W in the Division 2 Women 2011/2012. F.A.S Herblay W are favorites here. Recently, Conde-sur-Noireau W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. F.A.S Herblay W averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Conde-sur-Noireau W won 1, F.A.S Herblay W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2012 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Conde-sur-Noireau W and 1.00 for F.A.S Herblay W. This points to a F.A.S Herblay W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Conde-sur-Noireau W
25%
Draws
60%
F.A.S Herblay W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: F.A.S Herblay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Conde-sur-Noireau W picked up more points recently compared to F.A.S Herblay W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Conde-sur-Noireau W Clean Sheet 23%
F.A.S Herblay W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conde-sur-Noireau W F.A.S Herblay W
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.97 2.05
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
F.A.S Herblay W vs Conde-sur-Noireau W
1:4
Dec 11, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Conde-sur-Noireau W vs F.A.S Herblay W
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conde-sur-Noireau W 18 / 100
F.A.S Herblay W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conde-sur-Noireau W F.A.S Herblay W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick F.A.S Herblay W Win (2)
Secondary Pick F.A.S Herblay W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Conde-sur-Noireau W attacking → ← attacking F.A.S Herblay W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conde-sur-Noireau W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

F.A.S Herblay W let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Conde-sur-Noireau W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

F.A.S Herblay W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 29
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arras W22172359:1875
2Le Mans W22171462:2474
3Gravelines W22136352:1867
4Compiegne Club Oise W22132747:3163
5Dijon W22831134:3349
6Amiens W22821236:4348
7Mars Bischheim W22821236:4848
8Rouen W22741126:4147
9Cormelles W22661056:6046
10Metz W22651118:4045
11Bagneux W22461221:5040
12Gonfreville W22431513:5437
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Issy W22161564:2971
2La Roche W22145367:2969
3Orvault W22142652:2666
4Montigny-le-Bretonneux W22141769:2765
5Bordeaux W22114742:2559
6Angers W22113845:4258
7Conde-sur-Noireau W22104845:3656
8F.A.S Herblay W22921145:3548
9ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W22571023:4244
10USC Corne W22551219:4642
11Tours W22361324:6137
12Rennes W22002215:11219
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toulouse W22192189:2081
2Albi-Marssac W22154356:2371
3Monteux W22126456:2064
4Grenoble W22118354:3063
5Nimes W22115641:3360
6Le Puy W22104846:2956
7Veore Montoison W22103942:4755
8Aurillac W2294949:5653
9US Blanzy Foot W22531434:6240
10Macon W22431533:5637
11Chatenoy W22221825:8030
12ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W22121919:8824