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Condeixa vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Condeixa host GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. Condeixa are expected to control this from the start. Condeixa have averaged 1 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Condeixa slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.06) point toward Condeixa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Condeixa
33%
Draws
40%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Condeixa come out ahead of GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz on wins alone.
  • Model gives GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 20%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Condeixa vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Condeixa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa 28 / 100
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

Condeixa scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Condeixa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Condeixa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Away)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)