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Confianca vs Anapolis

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fernando Viana In: Gonzalo Fornari
Out: Fernando Viana
46'
Sub
Leonan In: Julio Cesar
Out: Leonan
46'
Sub
Gabriel Zeca In: Breiner C.
Out: Gabriel Zeca

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Confianca and Anapolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anapolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Confianca
30%
Draws
58%
Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Anapolis come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Anapolis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Confianca Clean Sheet 20%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Anapolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C
Confianca vs Anapolis
0:1
Aug 4, 2025 Serie C
Confianca vs Anapolis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares Santos H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 16 / 100
Anapolis 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anapolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Confianca scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Confianca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Anapolis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Anapolis

(Away)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)