Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Rodrigo Alves
14'
14'
Madison
17'
17'
Gustavo Crecci
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Confianca and Itabaiana finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Confianca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Confianca come out ahead of Itabaiana on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Confianca taking it.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Confianca Clean Sheet 68%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Confianca | Itabaiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 48 | 42 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 21 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Serie C
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Itabaiana vs Confianca
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs Confianca
0:2
Feb 25, 2026 Sergipano
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Sergipano
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Confianca Compare
Top Goalscorer dos Santos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Itabaiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Alves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Confianca 50 / 100
Itabaiana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Confianca Itabaiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Confianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Confianca's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 48 recent games.
Itabaiana let in goals in 62% of their last 42 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Itabaiana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Confianca VS Itabaiana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Confianca
(Home) 29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1 Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 10
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1 Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1 Maringa FC
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 5
Itabaiana
(Away) 29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0 Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2 SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 9
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1 Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0 Itabaiana
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1 Itabaiana
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2 Itabaiana
20 Jun
Anapolis
2 : 0 Itabaiana
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
