Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium

Beijing Guoan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi play Beijing Guoan in the AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cong An Ha Noi averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Beijing Guoan averaged 2 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Cong An Ha Noi won 1, Beijing Guoan won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 27, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Cong An Ha Noi and 1.69 for Beijing Guoan. This points to a Cong An Ha Noi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Cong An Ha Noi

16%

Draws

35%

Beijing Guoan

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Cong An Ha Noi picked up more points recently compared to Beijing Guoan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 13%

Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cong An Ha Noi	Beijing Guoan
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	18	13
Draws	4	6
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.97	2
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 AFC Champions League 2

Cong An Ha Noi vs Beijing Guoan

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 18, 2025 AFC Champions League 2

Beijing Guoan vs Cong An Ha Noi

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauk S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nguyen Dinh Bac

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lin Liangming

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 47 / 100

Beijing Guoan 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cong An Ha Noi Beijing Guoan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cong An Ha Noi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cong An Ha Noi attacking → ← attacking Beijing Guoan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Beijing Guoan let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cong An Ha Noi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Beijing Guoan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 45

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Wasl	6	4	2	0	15:6	14
2	Esteghlal TEH	6	2	2	2	8:10	8
3	Al-Muharraq	6	2	1	3	8:8	7
4	Al Wehdat	6	1	1	4	5:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahli	6	2	4	0	7:4	10
2	Arkadag	6	1	4	1	5:6	7
3	Al Khalidiyah	6	1	3	2	3:3	6
4	Andijan	6	0	5	1	1:3	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Hussein	4	3	0	1	8:4	9
2	Sepahan	4	2	1	1	5:3	7
3	Ahal	4	0	1	3	4:10	1
4	Mohun Bagan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nassr	6	6	0	22:2	18
2	Al Zawraa	6	3	3	8:11	9
3	Istiqlol Dushanbe	6	3	3	7:13	9
4	FC Goa	6	0	6	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macarthur FC	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Cong An Ha Noi	6	2	2	2	9:7	8
3	Tai Po	6	2	1	3	7:12	7
4	Beijing Guoan	6	1	2	3	10:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Gamba Osaka	6	6	0	16:2	18
2	Ratchaburi	6	3	3	15:8	9
3	Nam Dinh	6	3	3	14:7	9
4	Eastern AA	6	0	6	2:30	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Persib Bandung	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Bangkok Utd	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Lion City Sailors	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
4	Selangor	6	0	1	5	7:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampines	6	5	1	0	14:5	16
2	Pohang	6	4	1	1	7:2	13
3	Pathum United	6	2	0	4	5:8	6
4	Kaya FC	6	0	0	6	4:15	0