Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Connahs Q. vs Penybont

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Essity Stadium, Flint
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

2 - 1
FT
Penybont Logo

Penybont

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Woodcock M.
21'
Owen K.
36'
Franklin H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Connahs Q.
20%
Draws
45%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Penybont haven't matched Connahs Q.'s recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 19%
Penybont Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Penybont
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Penybont
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Penybont
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodcock M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hughes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 36 / 100
Penybont 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Penybont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Penybont conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS Penybont
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
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Penybont

(Away)
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)