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Connahs Quay Town vs Johnstown Youth

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

Connahs Quay Town in this FA Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Connahs Quay Town
44%
Draws
20%
Johnstown Youth
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Connahs Quay Town have won more games recently than Johnstown Youth.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Connahs Quay Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Connahs Quay Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
Connahs Quay Town Clean Sheet 11%
Johnstown Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Quay Town Johnstown Youth
Matches Played 6 1
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 2.14 1
Goals Conceded 2.57 6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.57 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup
Connahs Quay Town vs Johnstown Youth
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Quay Town 35 / 100
Johnstown Youth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Quay Town Johnstown Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Quay Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Johnstown Youth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Connahs Quay Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Quay Town VS Johnstown Youth
2.14 Goals Scored 1
2.57 Goals Conceded 6
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
71% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Quay Town

(Home)
15 Jul
Connahs Quay Town
5 : 1
Buckley
24 Jun
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 6
Llandudno FC
01 Oct
Montgomery
4 : 0
Connahs Quay Town
08 Aug
Connahs Quay Town
2 : 4
Wrexham
02 Oct
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 2
Bow Street
Page 1 of 2

Johnstown Youth

(Away)
11 Sept
Connahs Quay Town
6 : 1
Johnstown Youth

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gwalchmai1
Port Talbot4
Caersws FC4
Llanidloes Town2
Bangor City2
Bryntirion Athletic1
Haverfordwest3
Holyhead2
Goytre Utd2
Carmarthen Town3
Connahs Q.5
AFC Porth3
Bow Street2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Porthmadog0
Bala1
Aberaman0
Cefn Druids4
Llanelli1
Aberystwyth0
Guilsfield1
Rhos Aelwyd2
Cambrian United2
Prestatyn3
Neath Athletic1
Rhyl2
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
TNS3
Corus Steel0
Grange Harlequins2
Newtown1
Bridgend Town2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot3
Caersws FC0
Bangor City5
Haverfordwest3
Carmarthen Town2
Connahs Q.3
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Bala1
Cefn Druids1
Llanelli4
Rhos Aelwyd1
Prestatyn6
Rhyl1
TNS2
Grange Harlequins1
Bridgend Town0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot0
Bangor City3
Connahs Q.4
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Llanelli1
Prestatyn0
TNS2
Grange Harlequins0
Semi-finals
Bangor City1
Connahs Q.0
Llanelli1
TNS0
Final
Bangor City1
Llanelli4