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Conquista FC U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Conquista FC U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Conquista FC U20
6%
Draws
4%
Bahia de Feira U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Conquista FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Conquista FC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Conquista FC U20 taking it.
  • Conquista FC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Conquista FC U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Conquista FC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia de Feira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquista FC U20 Bahia de Feira U20
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Baiano U20
Bahia de Feira U20 vs Conquista FC U20
1:0
May 14, 2023 Baiano U20
Conquista FC U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquista FC U20 85 / 100
Bahia de Feira U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquista FC U20 Bahia de Feira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia de Feira U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Conquista FC U20 scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Bahia de Feira U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Conquista FC U20 VS Bahia de Feira U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquista FC U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Conquista FC U20
1 : 0
Jacobina U20
10 Jun
Jacobina U20
2 : 0
Conquista FC U20
03 Jun
Conquista FC U20
3 : 0
Porto-BA U20
30 May
Jequie U20
1 : 1
Conquista FC U20
24 May
Conquista FC U20
0 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
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Bahia de Feira U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Bahia de Feira U20
1 : 3
Redencao U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
23 May
Jacuipense U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
09 May
Bahia de Feira U20
2 : 5
Vitoria U20
02 May
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Conquista FC U203
Bahia de Feira U202
Jacuipense U202
Barcelona FC U200
Camacariense U201
Bahia U202
Itabuna U203
Vitoria U205
Semi-finals
Conquista FC U201
Jacuipense U204
Bahia U204
Vitoria U202
Final
Jacuipense U202
Bahia U203