Sport Picks
Copiapo vs Magallanes
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó 
Match Events
15'
15'
Fredes M.
38'
38'
Osorio M.
46'
46'
Sub
Fuenzalida I. In: Ortiz J.
Out: Fuenzalida I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magallanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Magallanes have won more games recently than Copiapo.
- Win probability leans Magallanes's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Copiapo have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 13%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Copiapo | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Copiapo
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Magallanes
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Copiapo
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs Magallanes
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Liga de Primera
Magallanes vs Copiapo
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Copiapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Fredes M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Copiapo 19 / 100
Magallanes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Copiapo Magallanes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magallanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Magallanes conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Copiapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Copiapo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Copiapo VS Magallanes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Copiapo
(Home) 06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
14 Aug
Deportes Iquique
4 : 0 Copiapo
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1 San Luis
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1 Everton
20 Jun
Copiapo
0 : 3 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 3
Magallanes
(Away) 05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
15 Aug
Rangers
2 : 3 Magallanes
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
15 Aug
Rangers
2 : 3 Magallanes
09 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 4 Magallanes
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
27 Jun
A. Italiano
2 : 1 Magallanes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 42:27 | 41 |
| 3 | San Luis | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36:28 | 38 |
| 4 | Antofagasta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:24 | 37 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 37 |
| 6 | Magallanes | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38:37 | 36 |
| 7 | U. Espanola | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 35 |
| 8 | D. Puerto Montt | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:29 | 34 |
| 9 | San Marcos de Arica | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 28:23 | 33 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39:34 | 31 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32:37 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 31:28 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22:35 | 24 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 25:38 | 18 |
| 16 | Rangers | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22:38 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
