Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Torres F.
5'
Cazula A.
27' Event
Palacios L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Copiapo and San Marcos de Arica finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos de Arica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Copiapo
30%
Draws
34%
San Marcos de Arica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Copiapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Marcos de Arica come out ahead of Copiapo on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Copiapo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 17%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
3:1
May 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Copiapo
0:1
Oct 12, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Jul 9, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Copiapo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguila Bastias Y. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melivilu Fuentes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 36 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo San Marcos de Arica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: San Marcos de Arica registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Copiapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: San Marcos de Arica conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS San Marcos de Arica
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283