Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coquimbo vs Union La Calera

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coquimbo play Union La Calera in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coquimbo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1 conceded. Union La Calera averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Coquimbo won 5, Union La Calera won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Coquimbo and 1.19 for Union La Calera. This points to a Coquimbo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Coquimbo
18%
Draws
27%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Coquimbo picked up more points recently compared to Union La Calera.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo Union La Calera
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:4
Jun 8, 2025 Copa Chile
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 54 / 100
Union La Calera 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo Union La Calera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Coquimbo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coquimbo attacking → ← attacking Union La Calera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Union La Calera let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Coquimbo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union La Calera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 33
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13