Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Mauricio
Assist: Sosa R.
15'
15'
Sosa R.
19'
19'
Mauricio
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Coritiba and Palmeiras finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palmeiras come out ahead of Coritiba on wins alone.
- Model gives Palmeiras a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 11%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
1:3
Oct 22, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
0:2
Jun 4, 2023 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Coritiba
3:1
Oct 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Coritiba
4:0
Jun 12, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Paulo Roberto
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Palmeiras Compare
Top Goalscorer Mauricio
2 Goals Assists Leader Sosa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 18 / 100
Palmeiras 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Palmeiras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Coritiba's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Coritiba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Palmeiras has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Palmeiras
1.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0 Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3 Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 3
Palmeiras
(Away) 20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0 LDU Quito
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
