Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cork City vs Kerry

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cork City play Kerry in the Club Friendly. Cork City are favorites here. Recently, Cork City averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Kerry averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Cork City won 4, Kerry won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cork City and 0.69 for Kerry. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Cork City
16%
Draws
23%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Cork City picked up more points recently compared to Kerry.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Cork City Clean Sheet 28%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Kerry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Cork City
1:0
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
4:2
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Cork City vs Kerry
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Kerry vs Cork City
1:2
Sep 13, 2024 Division 1
Kerry vs Cork City
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelleher F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maguire S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 61 / 100
Kerry 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cork City & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cork City attacking → ← attacking Kerry

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Kerry let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cork City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kerry lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 29
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88