Sport Picks

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Cork City vs Kerry

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kelleher F.
21' Event
McGrath S.
28' Event
Maguire S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cork City and Kerry finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cork City
30%
Draws
33%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cork City come out ahead of Kerry on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cork City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cork City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cork City Clean Sheet 16%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Kerry
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.18 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
3:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Cork City
1:0
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
4:2
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Cork City vs Kerry
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Kerry vs Cork City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelleher F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maguire S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 75 / 100
Kerry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cork City scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Kerry has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Cork City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Kerry
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
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Kerry

(Away)
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
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