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Cork City vs Leicester Celtic AFC

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2025 Turner's Cross
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cork City play Leicester Celtic AFC in the FAI Cup 2025. Cork City are favorites here. Recently, Cork City averaged 2 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Leicester Celtic AFC averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Cork City won 1, Leicester Celtic AFC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 19, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Cork City and 1.00 for Leicester Celtic AFC. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cork City
15%
Draws
21%
Leicester Celtic AFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Cork City picked up more points recently compared to Leicester Celtic AFC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Cork City Clean Sheet 23%
Leicester Celtic AFC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Leicester Celtic AFC
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 21 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.69 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 FAI Cup
Cork City vs Leicester Celtic AFC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Leicester Celtic AFC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 62 / 100
Leicester Celtic AFC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Leicester Celtic AFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cork City & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cork City attacking → ← attacking Leicester Celtic AFC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Leicester Celtic AFC let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cork City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leicester Celtic AFC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 3
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00