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Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estadio Gerson Amaral, Coruripe
Coruripe Logo

Coruripe

1 - 1
FT
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Logo

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Leandro Alves
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mosquito
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Coruripe
30%
Draws
23%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Coruripe have produced (0.9).
  • Win probability leans Coruripe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Coruripe, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coruripe Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Coruripe
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Alagoano
Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Coruripe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coruripe Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coruripe 49 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coruripe Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coruripe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coruripe found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cruzeiro Arapiraca conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Coruripe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coruripe VS Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coruripe

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)