Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa do Sol vs Associacao Black Bulls

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gueye K.

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Costa do Sol and Associacao Black Bulls finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Associacao Black Bulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Costa do Sol
22%
Draws
60%
Associacao Black Bulls
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Associacao Black Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Associacao Black Bulls carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Associacao Black Bulls's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Associacao Black Bulls have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%
Associacao Black Bulls Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa do Sol Associacao Black Bulls
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 13 11
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Associacao Black Bulls
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Costa do Sol
3:1
Apr 21, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Associacao Black Bulls
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa do Sol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Associacao Black Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa do Sol 20 / 100
Associacao Black Bulls 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa do Sol Associacao Black Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa do Sol found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Costa do Sol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Associacao Black Bulls's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa do Sol VS Associacao Black Bulls
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa do Sol

(Home)
19 Jul
Costa do Sol
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Costa do Sol
20 Jun
Costa do Sol
2 : 2
UD Songo
16 Jun
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
20 May
Sofala
1 : 1
Costa do Sol
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Associacao Black Bulls

(Away)
24 Jul
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
28 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
21 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
4 : 1
Sofala
17 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
21 May
Chingale de Tete
0 : 3
Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010
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