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Costa Rica U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 FMF Asociación, Toluca
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sealey J.
11' Event
Paniagua L.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Ocampo D.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 9-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Costa Rica U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Bermuda U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Costa Rica U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bermuda U17 W haven't matched Costa Rica U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Costa Rica U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Costa Rica U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Rica U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Costa Rica U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Bermuda U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U17 W Bermuda U17 W
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 6 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 6.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Costa Rica U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W
9:1
Jun 8, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Costa Rica U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ocampo D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.62
Avg xA / game 3

Bermuda U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sealey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U17 W 83 / 100
Bermuda U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U17 W Bermuda U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda U17 W let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.50 goals when they meet.

Costa Rica U17 W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Costa Rica U17 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica U17 W VS Bermuda U17 W
6 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica U17 W

(Home)
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Jamaica U17 W
0 : 1
Costa Rica U17 W
17 Mar
Costa Rica U17 W
3 : 1
Panama U17 W
03 Feb
Costa Rica U17 W
3 : 1
Cuba U17 W
01 Feb
Grenada U17 W
1 : 8
Costa Rica U17 W
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Bermuda U17 W

(Away)
22 Mar
Haiti U17 W
2 : 0
Bermuda U17 W
19 Mar
Bermuda U17 W
0 : 9
Puerto Rico U17 W
17 Mar
USA U17 W
19 : 0
Bermuda U17 W
28 Jan
Panama U17 W
2 : 2
Bermuda U17 W
26 Jan
Bonaire U17 W
1 : 7
Bermuda U17 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U17 W330021:09
2Costa Rica U17 W320117:56
3Haiti U17 W31024:213
4Bermuda U17 W30032:180
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W330010:29
2Puerto Rico U17 W320112:46
3Panama U17 W31023:83
4Nicaragua U17 W30030:110
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330017:09
2El Salvador U17 W31115:84
3Honduras U17 W31113:94
4Trinidad & Tobago U17 W30031:90
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams