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Costa Rica vs Chapadao

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Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapadao in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Costa Rica
35%
Draws
45%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chapadao haven't matched Costa Rica's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Costa Rica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Chapadao
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 14 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Costa Rica
3:4
Jan 22, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
2:0
Apr 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Costa Rica
0:1
Mar 31, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
1:2
Feb 26, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Chapadao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 32 / 100
Chapadao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Costa Rica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (45 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Costa Rica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
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Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
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