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Costa Rica W vs Saint Kitts and Nevis W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Elizondo M.
9' Event
Herrera Monge M.
22' Event
Rodriguez R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica W in this Gold Cup Women tie, finishing 11-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Costa Rica W
39%
Draws
31%
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis W haven't matched Costa Rica W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Costa Rica W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Rica W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Costa Rica W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 14%
Saint Kitts and Nevis W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W Saint Kitts and Nevis W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 4.75 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Saint Kitts and Nevis W vs Costa Rica W
0:19
Sep 26, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Costa Rica W vs Saint Kitts and Nevis W
11:0
Feb 18, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Costa Rica W vs Saint Kitts and Nevis W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera Monge M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chinchilla P.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Saint Kitts and Nevis W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 30 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W Saint Kitts and Nevis W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saint Kitts and Nevis W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 12.33 goals when they meet.

Costa Rica W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Costa Rica W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica W VS Saint Kitts and Nevis W
4.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
11 Apr
Costa Rica W
21 : 0
Cayman Islands W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
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Saint Kitts and Nevis W

(Away)
17 Apr
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
1 : 2
Curacao W
04 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
0 : 3
Panama W
02 Dec
Cuba W
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
29 Nov
Aruba W
2 : 1
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
23 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
1 : 1
Anguilla W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440012:112
2Puerto Rico W41123:64
3Trinidad & Tobago W40131:91
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W42118:57
2Guatemala W41216:85
3Jamaica W40315:63
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W430132:29
2Haiti W430126:29
3Saint Kitts and Nevis W40040:540
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)