Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cotinguiba vs Socorrense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Cotinguiba and Socorrense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cotinguiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Cotinguiba
30%
Draws
62%
Socorrense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Cotinguiba haven't matched Socorrense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Socorrense a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cotinguiba Clean Sheet 18%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cotinguiba Socorrense
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorrense vs Cotinguiba
0:0
Sep 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Cotinguiba vs Socorrense
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cotinguiba 10 / 100
Socorrense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cotinguiba Socorrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorrense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cotinguiba scored in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Recent resilience: Cotinguiba stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cotinguiba VS Socorrense
1.17 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cotinguiba

(Home)
09 Oct
Barra SE
2 : 0
Cotinguiba
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
25 Sept
Socorrense
0 : 0
Cotinguiba
21 Sept
Cotinguiba
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
14 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 1
Cotinguiba
Page 1 of 2

Socorrense

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)