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Cova De Piedade U23 vs Rio Ave U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cova De Piedade U23 play Rio Ave U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23 2020/2021. Rio Ave U23 are favorites here. Recently, Cova De Piedade U23 averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.65 conceded. Rio Ave U23 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Cova De Piedade U23 won 1, Rio Ave U23 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 13, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Cova De Piedade U23 and 1.43 for Rio Ave U23. This points to a Rio Ave U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cova De Piedade U23
23%
Draws
56%
Rio Ave U23
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Rio Ave U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Cova De Piedade U23 picked up more points recently compared to Rio Ave U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Cova De Piedade U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Rio Ave U23 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cova De Piedade U23 Rio Ave U23
Matches Played 26 42
Wins 3 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.08 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Liga Revelacao U23
Cova De Piedade U23 vs Rio Ave U23
2:1
Jan 5, 2021 Liga Revelacao U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Cova De Piedade U23
1:1
Dec 3, 2019 Liga Revelacao U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Cova De Piedade U23
2:1
Aug 24, 2019 Liga Revelacao U23
Cova De Piedade U23 vs Rio Ave U23
1:1
Feb 2, 2019 Liga Revelacao U23
Cova De Piedade U23 vs Rio Ave U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cova De Piedade U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caldeira V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medvedchuk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rio Ave U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cova De Piedade U23 22 / 100
Rio Ave U23 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cova De Piedade U23 Rio Ave U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rio Ave U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cova De Piedade U23 attacking → ← attacking Rio Ave U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cova De Piedade U23 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Rio Ave U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cova De Piedade U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rio Ave U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U231484227:1439
2Portimonense U2314102223:1335
3Academica U231465333:1930
4Sporting CP U231465325:2030
5Vitoria Guimaraes U231427521:2421
6Boavista U231435620:2118
7Rio Ave U2314131013:3215
8Cova De Piedade U231425717:3613