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Coxim vs Costa Rica

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Charlisson R.
63' Event
Joelson

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Coxim and Costa Rica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coxim
35%
Draws
19%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Costa Rica come out ahead of Coxim on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Coxim Clean Sheet 16%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Costa Rica
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Coxim
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Costa Rica
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Coxim
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Costa Rica
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Coxim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Charlisson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Joelson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 30 / 100
Costa Rica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Costa Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coxim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Coxim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coxim's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS Costa Rica
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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Costa Rica

(Away)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)