Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Joselinho
35'
35'
Linares F.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Azarkan A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between CP Almeria and Marbelli finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marbelli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marbelli come out ahead of CP Almeria on wins alone.
- Marbelli are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CP Almeria | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 11 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Marbelli
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs CP Almeria
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CP Almeria Compare
Top Goalscorer Josema
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Marbelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Joselinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Azarkan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CP Almeria 20 / 100
Marbelli 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CP Almeria Marbelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marbelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
CP Almeria scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Marbelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.
CP Almeria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Marbelli
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CP Almeria
(Home) 11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2 CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1 CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2 Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0 CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2 CD Torreperogil
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2 Marbelli
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Huetor Tajar
30 Mar
CP Almeria
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
16 Mar
CP Almeria
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 3
Marbelli
(Away) 13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2 Marbelli
03 May
Marbelli
0 : 1 Granada CF B
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2 Marbelli
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1 Marbelli
01 Apr
Torre del Mar
0 : 0 Marbelli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 76:22 | 83 |
| 2 | Jaen | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 60:35 | 73 |
| 3 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 57:35 | 61 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35:28 | 57 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:35 | 54 |
| 8 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 42:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Mancha | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Marbelli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 11 | El Palo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:49 | 41 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 28:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45:55 | 36 |
| 16 | Ejido | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36:68 | 27 |
| 17 | CP Almeria | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 35:75 | 23 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:63 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
