Sport Picks
CP Amanecer vs CD Calamonte
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
CP Amanecer in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CP Amanecer.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- CP Amanecer have won more games recently than CD Calamonte.
- Model gives CP Amanecer a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CP Amanecer Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CP Amanecer | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Amanecer vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CP Amanecer
1:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CP Amanecer vs CD Calamonte
3:2
Dec 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CP Amanecer
2:1
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CP Amanecer
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CP Amanecer 42 / 100
CD Calamonte 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CP Amanecer CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calamonte has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CP Amanecer found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
CD Calamonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CP Amanecer
(Home) 31 Aug
Arroyo
5 : 0 CP Amanecer
13 May
CP Amanecer
0 : 1 Cacereno
06 May
Don Benito
4 : 0 CP Amanecer
29 Apr
CP Amanecer
0 : 0 Arroyo
22 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 1 CP Amanecer
Page 1 of 6
13 May
CP Amanecer
0 : 1 Cacereno
29 Apr
CP Amanecer
0 : 0 Arroyo
15 Apr
CP Amanecer
3 : 0 Olivenza FC
29 Mar
CP Amanecer
0 : 3 UP Plasencia
25 Mar
CP Amanecer
1 : 2 CP Valdivia
Page 1 of 3
CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
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09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cacereno | 38 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 81:16 | 92 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 90:17 | 85 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 38 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 58:26 | 79 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 83:42 | 74 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 62:29 | 72 |
| 6 | Don Benito | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 62:26 | 68 |
| 7 | CD Calamonte | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 70:39 | 62 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59:56 | 59 |
| 9 | Moralo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:58 | 52 |
| 10 | Olivenza FC | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:54 | 47 |
| 11 | Montijo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:59 | 43 |
| 12 | CP Amanecer | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 13 | Extremadura UD B | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 49:55 | 40 |
| 14 | CP Valdivia | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:63 | 39 |
| 15 | Arroyo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 31:64 | 37 |
| 16 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 34:82 | 36 |
| 17 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 34:64 | 35 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 42:69 | 34 |
| 19 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 34:95 | 24 |
| 20 | La Estrella | 38 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 34:79 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
