Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cray Valley vs Billericay

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 Badgers Sports Ground, Eltham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Watts C.
16' Event
Watts C.
24' Event
Beere T.

AI Match Summary

Billericay in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Billericay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cray Valley
20%
Draws
56%
Billericay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Billericay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Billericay lately — more wins on the board than Cray Valley.
  • Billericay are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cray Valley Billericay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Billericay
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Cray Valley
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Cray Valley
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Billericay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cray Valley Compare

Top Goalscorer Beere T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Watts C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Merrifield F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cray Valley 22 / 100
Billericay 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cray Valley Billericay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Billericay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cray Valley's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cray Valley stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Billericay has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cray Valley VS Billericay
1.57 Goals Scored 2.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cray Valley

(Home)
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
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Billericay

(Away)
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0
Billericay
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0
Dover Ath.
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
04 May
Billericay
2 : 1
Brentwood
29 Apr
Billericay
3 : 2
Chatham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)