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Crema vs Grumellese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Crema Logo

Crema

2 - 0
FT
Grumellese Logo

Grumellese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Crema in this Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Crema
20%
Draws
58%
Grumellese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Grumellese at 1 per game, Crema at 0.85.
  • Win probability leans Grumellese's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Crema Clean Sheet 20%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Grumellese
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Crema
2:0
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Grumellese
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 12 / 100
Grumellese 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Grumellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grumellese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grumellese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Crema scored in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Crema went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 7

Grumellese

(Away)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)