Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Birmingham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stansfield J.
21' Event
Gibson J.
55'
Sub
Thomas C. In: Lankester J.
Out: Thomas C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Crewe and Birmingham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Crewe
39%
Draws
30%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Birmingham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Crewe Clean Sheet 14%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Birmingham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Birmingham
4:0
Aug 4, 2009 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Birmingham
4:1
Apr 10, 2002 Championship
Birmingham vs Crewe
3:1
Sep 29, 2001 Championship
Crewe vs Birmingham
0:0
Mar 10, 2001 Championship
Birmingham vs Crewe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Stansfield J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bateman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 31 / 100
Birmingham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Birmingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Crewe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Birmingham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3
Crewe
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0
Cambridge Utd
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Birmingham

(Away)
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
15 Jul
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Birmingham
10 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 1
Huddersfield
02 May
Portsmouth
1 : 1
Birmingham
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