Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Birmingham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stansfield J.
21' Event
Gibson J.
55'
Sub
Thomas C. In: Lankester J.
Out: Thomas C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Crewe and Birmingham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Crewe
35%
Draws
35%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Birmingham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Crewe's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Crewe Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Birmingham
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Birmingham
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Birmingham
4:0
Aug 4, 2009 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Birmingham
4:1
Apr 10, 2002 Championship
Birmingham vs Crewe
3:1
Sep 29, 2001 Championship
Crewe vs Birmingham
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Stansfield J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bateman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 36 / 100
Birmingham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Crewe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Birmingham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2
Walsall
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
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Birmingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2
Birmingham
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1
Birmingham
06 Sept
Birmingham
2 : 2
Wolves
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1
Southampton
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