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Croatia U19 W vs Romania U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Croatia U19 W play Romania U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Croatia U19 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Romania U19 W averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Croatia U19 W won 0, Romania U19 W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 29, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Croatia U19 W and 1.81 for Romania U19 W. This points to a Croatia U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Croatia U19 W
30%
Draws
30%
Romania U19 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Romania U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Croatia U19 W Clean Sheet 11%
Romania U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 W Romania U19 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Croatia U19 W vs Romania U19 W
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Croatia U19 W vs Romania U19 W
2:3
Feb 19, 2023 Friendly International Women
Croatia U19 W vs Romania U19 W
1:1
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Croatia U19 W vs Romania U19 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Romania U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 W 38 / 100
Romania U19 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 W Romania U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Croatia U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croatia U19 W attacking → ← attacking Romania U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia U19 W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Romania U19 W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Croatia U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Romania U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 37
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25