Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia W vs Bulgaria W

World World

World Cup Women Stadion Aldo Drosina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Croatia W play Bulgaria W in the World Cup Women. Croatia W are favorites here. Recently, Croatia W averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Bulgaria W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Croatia W won 3, Bulgaria W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Croatia W and 1.69 for Bulgaria W. This points to a Croatia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Croatia W
15%
Draws
28%
Bulgaria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Croatia W picked up more points recently compared to Bulgaria W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Croatia W Clean Sheet 13%
Bulgaria W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia W Bulgaria W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Croatia W vs Bulgaria W
4:0
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Bulgaria W vs Croatia W
0:1
Jun 17, 2019 Friendly International Women
Bulgaria W vs Croatia W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Canjevac J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bulgaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia W 54 / 100
Bulgaria W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia W Bulgaria W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Croatia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croatia W attacking → ← attacking Bulgaria W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Bulgaria W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Croatia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 29
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lithuania W632111:311
2Bosnia & Herzegovina W632123:511
3Estonia W632111:611
4Liechtenstein W60063:340
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kosovo W650120:315
2Croatia W650116:115
3Bulgaria W620410:116
4Gibraltar W60061:320
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hungary W651021:216
2Azerbaijan W640211:512
3North Macedonia W62045:176
4Andorra W60152:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Greece W440011:412
2Faroe Islands W42026:76
3Georgia W40044:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Romania W43108:010
2Moldova W41212:15
3Cyprus W40130:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belarus W430110:19
2Kazakhstan W42115:27
3Armenia W40131:131