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Stadium Background

Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Ross L.
' Event
Tandy R.
' Event
Clarke G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Croesyceiliog FC and Abergavenny Town finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abergavenny Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Croesyceiliog FC
6%
Draws
4%
Abergavenny Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croesyceiliog FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Croesyceiliog FC have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Abergavenny Town are scoring more at 0.75.
  • Win probability leans Croesyceiliog FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Croesyceiliog FC Clean Sheet 10%
Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croesyceiliog FC Abergavenny Town
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 4 4
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2020 Division 1
Abergavenny Town vs Croesyceiliog FC
0:0
Feb 7, 2020 Division 1
Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town
2:3
Oct 19, 2019 FA Cup
Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croesyceiliog FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Abergavenny Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ross L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tandy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croesyceiliog FC 83 / 100
Abergavenny Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croesyceiliog FC Abergavenny Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abergavenny Town has conceded goals in 94% of their last 35 outings.

Abergavenny Town lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Croesyceiliog FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Croesyceiliog FC VS Abergavenny Town
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croesyceiliog FC

(Home)
03 Jul
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Croesyceiliog FC
02 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 0
Croesyceiliog FC
08 Oct
Croesyceiliog FC
0 : 5
Briton Ferry
17 Sept
Croesyceiliog FC
2 : 1
Ynysygerwn
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
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Abergavenny Town

(Away)
20 Apr
Abergavenny Town
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
13 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
6 : 0
Abergavenny Town
01 Apr
Llantwit Major
4 : 0
Abergavenny Town
29 Mar
Afan Lido
6 : 0
Abergavenny Town
16 Mar
Baglan Dragons
2 : 0
Abergavenny Town
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