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Stadium Background

Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2019/2020
Croesyceiliog FC Logo

Croesyceiliog FC

2 - 1
FT
Abergavenny Town Logo

Abergavenny Town

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Croesyceiliog FC in this FA Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Croesyceiliog FC
6%
Draws
4%
Abergavenny Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croesyceiliog FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Abergavenny Town average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Croesyceiliog FC's 0.5.
  • Win probability leans Croesyceiliog FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Abergavenny Town, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Croesyceiliog FC Clean Sheet 10%
Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croesyceiliog FC Abergavenny Town
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 4 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 28
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2020 Division 1
Abergavenny Town vs Croesyceiliog FC
0:0
Feb 7, 2020 Division 1
Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town
2:3
Oct 19, 2019 FA Cup
Croesyceiliog FC vs Abergavenny Town
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croesyceiliog FC 83 / 100
Abergavenny Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croesyceiliog FC Abergavenny Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abergavenny Town let in goals in 94% of their last 35 matches.

Away concern: Abergavenny Town has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Croesyceiliog FC scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Croesyceiliog FC VS Abergavenny Town
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croesyceiliog FC

(Home)
03 Jul
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Croesyceiliog FC
02 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 0
Croesyceiliog FC
08 Oct
Croesyceiliog FC
0 : 5
Briton Ferry
17 Sept
Croesyceiliog FC
2 : 1
Ynysygerwn
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 3

Abergavenny Town

(Away)
20 Apr
Abergavenny Town
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
13 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
6 : 0
Abergavenny Town
01 Apr
Llantwit Major
4 : 0
Abergavenny Town
29 Mar
Afan Lido
6 : 0
Abergavenny Town
16 Mar
Baglan Dragons
2 : 0
Abergavenny Town
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town4
Cardiff Draconians1
Builth2
Ton Pentre3
Garden Village1
Goytre Utd3
Cefn Cribwr2
Tredegar Town1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC0
Llannefydd3
Guilsfield2
Brymbo1
Cwmbran Celtic2
Pontardawe3
Croesyceiliog FC2
Abergavenny Town1
Holyhead4
Montgomery2
Blaenau0
Buckley2
Abertillery Bluebirds3
Penparcau FC1
Trefelin2
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido3
Monmouth1
Aberbargoed Buds3
Aberaeron1
Holywell Town FC2
Llandudno FC3
Mynydd Isa3
Llanfair United5
Penybont-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanberis FC0
Porthmadog7
Coedpoeth0
Gresford5
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontypridd United3
Caerau Ely1
Llantwit Major0
Llandrindod1
Greenfield3
Caersws FC1
Flint Town9
Four Crosses0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC2
Rhydymwyn0
Corwen2
Colwyn Bay3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Briton Ferry2
Undy3
Pure Swansea4
Caerleon1
Haverfordwest5
Penlan Club3
Cambrian United7
Ynyshir Albions3
Llanelli2
Cwmamman United1
Penrhyncoch2
Cardiff Corries1
Nefyn United0
Bangor City2
Llanrhaeadr1
Prestatyn4
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Waterloo Rovers1
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberffraw0
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor 18764
Penycae FC3
Conwy Borough1
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl2
Llangefni0
Prestatyn Sports2
Queens Park3
Chepstow Town3
Taffs Well2
Cwmaman Institute2
STM Sports6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Ammanford Town3
Ton Pentre1
Goytre Utd6
Cefn Cribwr4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Llannefydd1
Guilsfield5
Pontardawe6
Croesyceiliog FC1
Holyhead0
Buckley3
Abertillery Bluebirds4
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Llandudno FC4
Llanfair United1
Penybont-
TBD-
Porthmadog4
Gresford1
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Pontypridd United1
Llandrindod0
Greenfield1
Flint Town3
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC0
Colwyn Bay1
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Undy5
Pure Swansea6
Haverfordwest1
Cambrian United2
Llanelli0
Penrhyncoch1
Bangor City0
Prestatyn3
TNS-
TBD-
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Bangor 18760
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl3
Queens Park0
Chepstow Town0
STM Sports5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town0
Ammanford Town4
Goytre Utd0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Guilsfield0
Pontardawe3
Buckley1
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Connahs Q.3
Afan Lido5
Llandudno FC1
Penybont6
Porthmadog1
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Pontypridd United0
Flint Town2
Bala0
Colwyn Bay1
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Pure Swansea3
Cambrian United0
Penrhyncoch1
Prestatyn2
TNS9
Mold Alexandra0
Aberystwyth2
Ruthin Town1
Barry Town0
Newtown1
Rhyl2
STM Sports0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Pontardawe0
Connahs Q.8
Afan Lido0
Penybont1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town3
Colwyn Bay2
Pure Swansea0
Prestatyn1
TNS4
Aberystwyth0
Newtown4
Rhyl1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids0
Connahs Q.1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town0
Prestatyn1
TNS6
Newtown1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Prestatyn-
TNS-
Final
TBD-
TBD-