Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone vs Altamura

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Doumbia C. B.
46'
Sub
Poli F. In: Falasca M.
Out: Poli F.
59'
Sub
Grande M. In: Doumbia C. B.
Out: Grande M.

AI Match Summary

Altamura in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crotone
35%
Draws
25%
Altamura
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Altamura.
  • Model gives Crotone a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Crotone have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Altamura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Altamura
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Altamura
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Crotone
0:4
Dec 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Crotone
1:3
Aug 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Altamura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Curcio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 77 / 100
Altamura 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Altamura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Altamura has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Crotone went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Altamura
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

Altamura

(Away)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)