Sport Picks
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento Resistencia
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí, Garupá 
Match Events
2'
2'
Piccioni S.
5'
5'
Golomba N.
17'
17'
Duarte C.
AI Match Summary
Sarmiento Resistencia in this Torneo Federal 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Resistencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sarmiento Resistencia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sarmiento Resistencia lately — more wins on the board than Crucero del Norte.
- Model gives Sarmiento Resistencia a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crucero del Norte Clean Sheet 11%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crucero del Norte | Sarmiento Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:3
Jun 28, 2025 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Crucero del Norte
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Crucero del Norte
1:1
May 25, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Crucero del Norte
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crucero del Norte Compare
Top Goalscorer Golomba N.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Olivera S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sarmiento Resistencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacas T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montenegro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crucero del Norte 14 / 100
Sarmiento Resistencia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crucero del Norte Sarmiento Resistencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarmiento Resistencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Crucero del Norte scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Sarmiento Resistencia registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crucero del Norte VS Sarmiento Resistencia
1 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Crucero del Norte
(Home) 13 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3 : 1 Crucero del Norte
06 Sept
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sarmiento Resistencia
01 Sept
El Linqueno
3 : 0 Crucero del Norte
23 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 4 Boca Unidos
17 Aug
Ben Hur
3 : 1 Crucero del Norte
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sarmiento Resistencia
23 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 4 Boca Unidos
09 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 1 Gimnasia E.R.
26 Jul
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sol de America
12 Jul
Crucero del Norte
1 : 1 Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Resistencia
(Away) 26 Jul
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 1 Sol de America
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
28 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Jun
Bartolome Mitre
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
23 May
Juventud Antoniana
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
17 May
Sol de America
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Germinal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 3 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 6 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Sportivo Estudiantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Gutierrez Mendoza | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 5 | El Linqueno | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Gimnasia E.R. | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ben Hur | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 10 | Crucero del Norte | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)