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Crumlin United vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Tom McPeake Park, Crumlin
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mooney A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Crumlin United and Ballymena finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crumlin United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Crumlin United
30%
Draws
35%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Crumlin United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ballymena a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crumlin United Clean Sheet 12%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin United Ballymena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 0 12
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Crumlin United vs Ballymena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin United 10 / 100
Ballymena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin United Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Crumlin United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crumlin United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballymena
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crumlin United

(Home)
13 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 5
Cliftonville
05 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 8
Ballyclare
27 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 4
Crusaders
16 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 8
Cliftonville
10 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 0
Ballymena
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Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
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