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Crusaders vs Glenavon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Wardell O.
58' Event
Weir R.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crusaders
20%
Draws
46%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crusaders lately — more wins on the board than Glenavon.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crusaders have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Glenavon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Glenavon
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Crusaders
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Glenavon
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Glenavon
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Crusaders
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Wardell O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weir R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Glenavon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 34 / 100
Glenavon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Crusaders has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Glenavon
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
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Glenavon

(Away)
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
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