Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Maiden City

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018 Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Forsythe J.
85' Event
Cushley D.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders in this Irish Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
28%
Maiden City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crusaders lately — more wins on the board than Maiden City.
  • Win probability leans Crusaders's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Crusaders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%
Maiden City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Maiden City
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.58 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Maiden City
4:0
Jan 6, 2018 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Maiden City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsythe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cushley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Maiden City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 95 / 100
Maiden City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Maiden City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Maiden City has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Maiden City registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

Maiden City

(Away)
10 Jul
Ballinamallard
3 : 0
Maiden City
29 Aug
Crusaders
4 : 0
Maiden City
28 Sept
Maiden City
1 : 3
Tullycarnet
17 Aug
Maiden City
3 : 2
Bourneview Mill
05 Jan
Dergview
3 : 2
Maiden City
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
TBD -
Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
TBD -
Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
TBD -
Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
TBD -
Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
TBD -
Queens University -
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
TBD -
Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
TBD -
Annagh -
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
TBD -
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TBD -
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
TBD -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
TBD -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ards -
TBD -
Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1