Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
9'
9'
Gonzalez K.
25'
25'
Montes J.
32'
32'
Montes J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tlaxcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tlaxcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Tlaxcala are scoring more at 1.57.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Tlaxcala taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
0:2
Feb 29, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A
Tlaxcala vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0:1
Sep 27, 2019 Liga Premier Serie A
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
0:1
Apr 10, 2004 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
2:2
Nov 1, 2003 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tlaxcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Trejo Castro M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 18 / 100
Tlaxcala 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul Hidalgo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tlaxcala has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Tlaxcala
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
23 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
17 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
17 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 3
Tlaxcala
(Away) 08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
25 Oct
Tlaxcala
2 : 0 Correcaminos
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
