Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruz Azul vs Puebla

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul host Puebla in the Liga MX. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cruz Azul have averaged 1.75 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Puebla's 1.25 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Cruz Azul have won 4 to Puebla's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.13) back Cruz Azul to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cruz Azul
39%
Draws
31%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul come out ahead of Puebla on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cruz Azul here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Puebla
Matches Played 36 27
Wins 19 7
Draws 14 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Puebla
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Cruz Azul
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Puebla
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Cruz Azul
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Cruz Azul
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 31 / 100
Puebla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Puebla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

Puebla let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Cruz Azul remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Puebla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos Laguna00000:00
2Monterrey00000:00
3Cruz Azul00000:00
4Atlas00000:00
5Atletico San Luis00000:00
6Guadalajara Chivas00000:00
7Necaxa00000:00
8Pachuca00000:00
9Toluca00000:00
10Atlante00000:00
11Club America00000:00
12Puebla00000:00
13Tigres UANL00000:00
14UNAM Pumas00000:00
15Queretaro00000:00
16Club Tijuana00000:00
17Club Leon00000:00
18Juarez00000:00