Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Estadio Olímpico Universitario

Vancouver FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul play Vancouver FC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cruz Azul averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Vancouver FC averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Cruz Azul won 2, Vancouver FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Cruz Azul and 1.31 for Vancouver FC. This points to a Cruz Azul double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Cruz Azul

29%

Draws

20%

Vancouver FC

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Cruz Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Cruz Azul picked up more points recently compared to Vancouver FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 18%

Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cruz Azul	Vancouver FC
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	17	8
Draws	11	6
Losses	2	14
Goals Scored	1.97	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup

Cruz Azul vs Vancouver FC

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

Feb 5, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup

Vancouver FC vs Cruz Azul

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero L.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Rodarte J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Vancouver FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 50 / 100

Vancouver FC 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cruz Azul Vancouver FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cruz Azul or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cruz Azul attacking → ← attacking Vancouver FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Vancouver FC let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cruz Azul went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 30

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00