Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruz Azul W vs Club America W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1, Ciudad de Mexico
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Chavarin A.
45' Event
Garcia G.
46'
Sub
Palacios K. In: Luebbert S.
Out: Palacios K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Cruz Azul W and Club America W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club America W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cruz Azul W
11%
Draws
80%
Club America W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Club America W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club America W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club America W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%
Club America W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W Club America W
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 15 25
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Club America W
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Jan 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Club America W
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Club America W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavarin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 10 / 100
Club America W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W Club America W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul W scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Club America W conceded in 69% of 39 recent games.

Solid form: Cruz Azul W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul W VS Club America W
1.33 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul W

(Home)
03 May
Monterrey W
4 : 0
Cruz Azul W
30 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
Monterrey W
25 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
04 Apr
Toluca W
0 : 4
Cruz Azul W
02 Apr
Atletico San Luis W
3 : 2
Cruz Azul W
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Club America W

(Away)
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3
Washington Spirit W
20 May
Club America W
4 : 1
Gotham FC W
17 May
Club America W
3 : 0
Monterrey W
15 May
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Club America W
10 May
Club America W
4 : 3
Toluca W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)