Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruzado Canicense vs Vigor Mocidade

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vigor Mocidade in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cruzado Canicense
15%
Draws
0%
Vigor Mocidade
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzado Canicense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Cruzado Canicense haven't matched Vigor Mocidade's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Vigor Mocidade arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vigor Mocidade, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cruzado Canicense Clean Sheet 10%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzado Canicense Vigor Mocidade
Matches Played 6 11
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Cruzado Canicense vs Vigor Mocidade
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzado Canicense 34 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzado Canicense Vigor Mocidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Mocidade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzado Canicense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Vigor Mocidade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Vigor Mocidade's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruzado Canicense VS Vigor Mocidade
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzado Canicense

(Home)
03 Sept
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4
Pedras Rubras
28 Aug
Famalicao
3 : 0
Cruzado Canicense
05 Sept
Cruzado Canicense
2 : 3
Atletico CP
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4
Vigor Mocidade
12 Sept
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 2

Vigor Mocidade

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2